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Expert NFL Survivor Pool Advice, Tips, Picks Week 4

After one more week with very little elimination in NFL live pools, Week 4 is the biggest favorite feature of the year as the most popular survival pool pick yet, but there are several more effective options. We’ll break down the advantages and disadvantages of five popular picks because you’re probably thinking of choosing at least one of these groups. However, it is important to remember that the best pick for your eliminator pool is popularity, pool size, future quality and many more things that can change your strategy.

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Week 4 NFL Survivor Pool Tips: Tips, Picking Strategies

Note: The “Choose Popularity” numbers below indicate the approximate percentage of survival pool entries across the country that the team has already questioned. Those numbers, as well as a team’s winning odds, can vary by week, so be sure to check out our NFL Survival Products for all the latest information.

The big news: Before we pick, we’re happy to announce that we’ve released our first e-book, Survivor Pool Strategy: What it takes to win. It explains all the key elements of survival pool strategy and includes case studies in specific historical weeks and pool-winning entries. It’s free now, so download your copy here.

Buffalo Bill vs. Houston Texans

Choose popularity: 37% (most popular peak)
Point Spread: -16.0

The Bills have the best winning chances this week and also have the highest expected value. In general, high pick popularity significantly lowers the expected value, but the bills are much more likely to win this week than the other teams, which is a big plus. However, they are one of the most valuable teams to save for the future, as we estimate they will have six extra weeks with a winning margin of six percent or more.

If a large portion of your pool uses bills now, they may not be widely used in the future, their value will increase in those future weeks. Whether it makes sense to store them or use them in this space largely depends on how many other entries you have (the size of your current pool) and how deep you have to go in season. The first week survival rate has been high within 3 weeks, so your living pool may be longer than usual this year.

More TeamRanking: Week 4 Their pool advice

Tennessee Titans in New York Jets

Choose popularity: 25%
Point Spread: -7.5

The Titans, like the other options listed here besides Buffalo, are currently only preferred by a touchdown. This puts them at the same level of protection as the rest of the Buffalo options.

With high popularity, though, the value of Tennessee has declined. Buffalo, the most popular pick, won by close to 90 percent, reducing the chances of the bills benefiting from the crash. Other non-billing options have similar chances of winning. Until all top pick odds change, Tennessee will have the lowest expected value among the five most popular picks this week.

Tennessee also has a moderate future value – like New Orleans, less than Buffalo and Kansas City and more than Cincinnati.

Week 4 Fantasy PPR Ranking:
Quarterback | Run backwards Wide receiver | Tight end D / ST | Kicker

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Choose popularity: 15%
Point Spread: -7.5

They have a big reason for Bengalis this week: future value, or lack thereof. If you’re going to use Cincinnati, now is the time to use them, because they’ve probably won more than 75 percent in just one time this year.

Immediately expected value is moderate. The advantage of using Cincinnati is that you will save better teams for future weeks, which can be important in a large pool.

The big news: Before we pick, we’re happy to announce that we’ve released our first e-book, Survivor Pool Strategy: What it takes to win. It explains all the key elements of survival pool strategy and includes case studies in specific historical weeks and pool-winning entries. It’s free now, so download your copy here.

New Orleans Saints vs. New York Giants

Choose popularity: 11%
Point Spread: -7.5

The Saints provide a solid combination of picking the contrast and popularity of the win and a suitable alternative to using Buffalo. If you don’t want to go with a team like Cincinnati, New Orleans gives you an equal chance of winning for Tennessee but less than half of the popularity.

Football picks from team rankings:
Survivor Pool Sorting | Pick their pool NFL bet picking

Kansas City Chiefs in Philadelphia

Choose popularity: 4%
Point Spread: -7.5

Kansas City have hit a bit, starting 1-2 at the start of the season. For this week, though, it could pay off in terms of fading recession bias and negative public sentiment. If you use chiffons you are leaving some value in the future, but this is a reasonable opposite spot. You can both save Buffalo and take a team with the chances of winning the next best, even with the lowest pick popularity of the best non-Buffalo options.

Get our Week 4 Survivor Picks for your pool!

Each potential NFL Week 4 survival pick has an expected value in the current week and the associated future value. These values ​​can vary significantly depending on the characteristics of your pool, such as its size and its rules. It takes a lot of data and math to figure out which pick (or a combination of picks, if you’re playing multiple entries) gives you the biggest edge in winning your pool, which is why we’ve spent years creating our NFL Survivor Picks product.

Our products ask you a few questions about your survival pool, then provide customized pick advice using the latest matchup data, market pitfalls and public picking trends. It tracks the picks you’ve already made and even recommends how to split your picks if you play multiple entries. There’s nothing like it, and that’s why our customers have reported nearly 3 3 million to win a surviving pool since 2017.

Get it now: Free picks for your NFL Survivor Pool (limited time)

We invite you to try it, and good luck with your surviving pools this week!





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