Can Trump, the GOP, extend its reach to Latino voters?

President Trump’s influence on the Hispanic voting pattern was reversible: despite his administration’s steadfast focus on tightening U.S. immigration policy, including building a wall on the southern border, he and fellow Republicans made significant inroads with Latino voters.

Trump won %% of Hispanic votes in 2020, a 10 percentage-point increase from 2016 to 2016, and much better than the previous two GOP nominees for president, John McCain and Mitt Romney. In the heaviest Hispanic region of the country, South Texas, Trump’s gains were eye-catching. Although Joe Biden won two percentage points in the national popular vote, Trump increased his margin of victory from 19 to 55 points in the 10 heaviest Mexican American counties along the border.

Analysts have blamed Democrats’ leftist attitudes among many Hispanic voters, at least in part, on defending the police, ending U.S. dependence on oil and gas – South Texas’s main industry – and even disrespecting progressives. Immigration and Customs Enforcement and the U.S. Customs and Border Protection Agency, major employers in the area.

Trump himself, in an interview with RealClearPolitics co-founder Tom Bevan, said of his Latino support: “They see I’m doing the right thing. … I’m tough on borders, and tough on immigration. And they knew better than anyone else that the border was important.

Trump also favored Biden in Florida by defeating first- or second-generation Latino immigrants fleeing socialist or communist countries such as Cuba, Venezuela and Nicaragua. According to exit polls, Florida Lat5% Latino voters support Trump, an increase of 10 percentage points over 201 overs.

With Trump’s ballot closed next November, Republicans are hoping to boost those gains in key congressional midterm elections by opening the Hispanic Outreach Center. Efforts began more than a year before voters went to the polls to determine whether Democrats would retain control of both houses of Congress.

As part of Hispanic Heritage Month, which ends Oct. 15, the Republican National Committee has opened outreach offices in McAllen, a town bordering Milwaukee, Doral, Fla., And Rio Grande. The committee had earlier opened a center in Laredo, another Texas border town, in late summer and plans to set up a center in Las Vegas in the coming weeks.

McLean is one of the largest cities in the Rio Grande Valley and is 85% Hispanic. Once a stronghold of democracy, voters are now trending purple. A Republican Latino mayor was narrowly elected to a run-off this summer. Representative Vicente Gonzalez, who represents McAllen and the surrounding area in Congress, is a big GOP target next year. He won 21 points in the 2018 election but came within three points of losing last year.

Roman McDaniel, chairman of the Republican National Committee, said in a statement: “Since 2016, we have seen an increase in Republican support among Hispanics as Hispanics continue to reject the Democrats’ socialist agenda.” “Based on our success, the RNC is making long-term commitments and investments in the Hispanic community. সুযোগ The Republican Party is an opportunity and opportunity for freedom for all Americans, and we will continue to strengthen our investments in the Hispanic community every day.”

The RNC is talking about new outreach centers this week, but Democrats have rejected the effort, noting that they opened several field offices in South Texas a few months ago and are “organizing Latino voters and assuring Republicans that they can’t escape their extremist record,” the Democratic National said. Lucas Acosta, the committee’s coalition director and senior spokesman, told RCP.

“Under Donald Trump, Republicans have cut billions of dollars in taxes on middle-class corporations and pharmaceutical companies,” he said. “It will take more than a photo op to make Latino voters forget.”

Overall, the Latino were still decisive in sending Biden to the White House, voting at least 2 to 1 in favor of Trump, which received record votes from the community. Nationwide, Latinos polled 1.6.6 million votes in 2020, up .90. %% more than in the 2016 presidential race, according to a post-election report conducted by the University of California at the Los Angeles Latino Policy and Politics Initiative.

1 Hispanic voters were also critical of Biden, the battlefield state, to Biden, the first democratic presidential candidate to win after Bill Clinton. Than a single percent.

In an effort to reach out to their own Hispanic voters before mid-next year, Democrats are pushing for bigger spending packages that have become law since Biden was elected, including the $ 1.9 incentive bill, which was passed without a Republican vote in March. Acosta said the bill has helped create more than 40 million jobs and provided funding to help low-income families “get out of the epidemic.”

“Democrats will continue to fight for the Latino family, and grassroots work in the Latino community to ensure voters are delivering for them,” Acosta said.

Still, there are warning signs for Democrats that Biden’s agenda is not catching fire in this population. A Quinnipiac poll published in mid-September found that only %% of Hispanic voters approved Biden’s job performance and %% disagreed.

Biden’s more flexible immigration policy has hurt his position among Hispanics in Texas, a battleground for determining who controls the House of Representatives. Recent Vote The Dallas Morning News and the University of Texas found that only 2% of Latino voters in the state supported Biden’s response to the immigration crisis and 52% disagreed.

“[Biden’s] Has created a humanitarian crisis on our southern border and is dangerous for the community of Texas. “The Republican Party believes in legal immigration and supports law and order, which is important for many Hispanic voters who come from countries where they do not have the power to call 911 like us.”

The National Republican Senate Committee, citing its own vote since May, has shown that many Hispanics continue to reject central pillars of the democratic agenda in the medium term, including “wasteful spending,” more relaxed border policies and even pressure to ban voter IDs. Requirements are part of the voting process in Texas and Georgia this year that Democrats argue will suppress the vote among minorities.

The survey, which polled 1,200 Hispanic voters in eight battlefield states, found that these voters valued free market capitalism more than socialism and feared that Democrats would lose opportunities for their children if they were in charge at the federal level. 5% of those surveyed said they oppose the Democrats’ suffrage bill – which is now pending in Congress – which would invalidate voter ID, while 2% believe the government should “do what we need to do to control the southern border.”

Republicans have also increased voter registration among Hispanics nationwide to 181,017 in recent years, with big gains in Texas and Florida since 2016.

For example, since 2016, Republicans have reduced Democrats’ 727,000 net registration benefits from GOP’s to 2,000,000,000. In Texas, voters are not required to nominate a party when registering, but the GOP believes that 720,000 new registrations are Republican or Republican-at-risk, and 180,000 of these are Hispanic.

The Democrats’ voter registration campaign was hampered by an epidemic last year but they are promising to make up for any lost ground. Last week, the DNC launched a 5 5 million registration campaign, primarily targeting minority voters. The effort focuses on several battlefield states, including Arizona, Florida, Texas, Georgia, Pennsylvania and Nevada. State Democratic parties in Texas and elsewhere are also working to replicate the success of voter registration in Georgia, a longtime Republican stronghold that Biden turned blue last November and where Democrats won two Senate seats, pushing the upper chamber toward Democratic control.

Susan Crabtree is the White House / National Political Correspondent for Real Clear Politics.

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