To mark Entrepreneurial investors’On the 10th anniversary, we have compiled previews of our coverage of the most important issues in finance and investment over the past decade.
Much of the philosophical architecture of modern finance – modern portfolio theory (MPT), capital asset value model (CAPM), efficient market estimation (EMH), etc. – depends on the underlying rationality of the overall human inputs that drive market dynamics. Markets contain fundamentally efficient, conventional theories, and perfectly investors want to maximize returns for a certain level of risk and make investment decisions accordingly.
But over the decades, the work of Herbert Simon, Daniel Kahnman, Amos Tversky, Robert J. Schiller, and Richard H. Thaler has challenged this orthodoxy among others, proving that the behavior of marketers and investors is much more vague than these theories.
No matter what investors do, these researchers have found that they are not following a “reasonable model” Homo economics Conceived by conventional means.
Of course, Kahnman, Schiller and company were rarely preaching in an empty cathedral. It was not particularly difficult to find evidence of collective human bias and irrationality in the financial field. But the global financial crisis (GFC) and what followed has made people more interested in behavioral money.
Why it is not difficult to see. In the shadow of the Great Recession, financial markets have highlighted many inconsistencies compared to conventional theories, ranging from perhaps negative interest rates to gamestop fiascos. And in search of alpha, meanwhile, many have come to see MPT and related tools as inconsistent and possibly the opposite.
Since its launch in the fall of 2011 Entrepreneurial investors The top astronomers of behavioral finance as well as its critics have demonstrated scholarship, while our own contributors have added their analysis and perspectives to the subject. Follows a selection of some of our more influential coverage. Collectively, these contributions give a glimpse of the evolution of financial thought over the past decade.
Although behavioral finance has helped highlight how modern finance sometimes fails to account for market events, it has yet to establish an integrated model that replaces it. Whether this will ever happen is an open question, but perhaps not a critical one: given the complexity of 21st century markets, it may be deliberate to think that a theoretical framework will ever cover the full breadth of market activity. But very rarely, as this collection shows, critical insights are gained by looking at conventional meanings through a behavioral lens.
For a better assessment, avoid these five behavioral mistakes
Michael Maubussin believes that investors can make more accurate assessments and improve their investment decision making by avoiding five behavioral problems. David Laraby, CFA, explained.
Daniel Kahnman: Four keys to making better decisions
At the annual conference of the Daniel 1st CFA Institute, Daniel Kahnman explored some of his key scholarship-driven ideas, including insights, skills, biases, noise, how optimism and overconfidence affect the capitalist system and how we can improve our decision-making. Paul McCaffrey provides an analysis.
Richard H. Thaler: Intervention or not intervention
Richard H. Srinivas Kunte, CFA, CIPM, considers Thaler’s point of view.
“Economists want to standardize the understanding of economic events,” Robert J. Schiller explained in an extensive conversation with CFA Paul Kowarski. “They want to keep a simple model. The problem is that it is difficult to standardize our understanding because perceptions change and people’s thinking changes over time.
Coronavirus, behavioral finance: Mir Statman with the second generation and more
Mayor Statman discusses second-generation behavioral financing, how it can understand our investments in artificial intelligence (AI) and the environment, social and governance (ESG), as well as our response to the recent coronavirus epidemic among other topics. An interview with Paul McCaffrey.
Active equity renaissance
In this series, C. Thomas Howard and Jason Voss, CFA, Critical MPT and what they see as its detrimental effects on active management and explain how behavioral insights can bring order back.
Discovering Market Hypothesis (DMH)
Thomas Meyer, PhD, CFA, seeks to bridge the divide between conventional and behavioral finance with the Discovering Markets Hypothesis (DMH), which he created with Marius Kleinhair.
What does loss annoyance mean for investors? Not much
Contrary to the conventional wisdom of behavioral meaning, according to David Gall, the predominance of avoiding harm can actually be excessive.
Have the behaviorists gone too far?
Abraham Maslow writes, “If you have a hammer in your hand, it’s tempting to treat everything like a nail.” Ron Remkus, CFA, draws a parallel between Maslow’s hammer and behavioral meanings and wonders if it is applied too widely.
How to read Financial News: Home Country, Confirmation and Racial Prejudice
Rarely do they question the prevalence of the homeland and the associated bias: most will readily acknowledge their existence and admit that they themselves are prone to it. Yet many of us have a very difficult time accepting racial prejudice as an equally prominent phenomenon that can affect our behavior. CFA, Robert J.
Race and Inclusion Now: Action Points for Investment Management
How can investment management better adapt to industrial diversity? Mitchell Allen, CFA, Stephanie Carey and John W. Rogers Jr., gave their views in a CFA Institute webinar. Lauren Foster and Sarah Maynard distill the key takeaways.
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All posts are the author’s opinion. As such, they should not be construed as investment advice, or the opinions expressed must not reflect the views of the CFA Institute or the author’s employer.
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